LeopoldAschenbooger
0x929af40c2b4e36a2f13b0bdf75a72ba273708cf0
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $380.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $50.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.195 | $40.9k | −$8.7k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.043 | $5.6k | −$5.7k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.255 | $3.0k | +$273.28 |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? · OpenAI + Anthropic | 0.096 | 0.160 | $347.34 | +$138.14 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.015 | $267.25 | −$289.88 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.035 | $189.85 | −$154.68 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.026 | $153.80 | +$22.91 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 18:51 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $644.44 |
| 10-23 15:17 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.03 | $21.39 |
| 10-23 15:17 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0247116675 | $27.37 |
| 10-21 12:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.227533883 | $2.6k |
| 10-19 13:52 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.021 | $5.22 |
| 10-19 13:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.165931605 | $6.9k |
| 10-15 19:10 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.021 | $13.81 |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.3k |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $131.26 |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.3k |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.5k |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2146125695 | $1.5k |
| 10-15 19:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2256546949 | $2.4k |
| 10-13 14:52 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.9k |
| 10-13 13:41 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0222947845 | $84.49 |