PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlmostNoAwareness

0x33b3b135660b97b4ba65dad30bf07c7d2281d03d

Realised P&L
$23.32
Volume
$247.5k
Markets traded
183
Open portfolio
$15.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded183
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? · Yes0.9790.998$3.0k+$55.73
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.2680.285$2.8k+$170.35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.4500.535$2.7k+$425.10
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · No0.7070.815$2.4k+$324.23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1130.135$1.2k+$203.45
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.6240.565$1.1k$117.34
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · No0.6080.815$824.55+$209.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0970.079$762.07$176.54
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · No0.2750.265$300.76$11.24
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.7500.915$150.06+$27.06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.8100.785$91.06$2.90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.165$82.50$42.51
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.6100.250$15.00$21.60
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.6700.620$3.10$0.25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00$915.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 11:26LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.28$280.00
09-11 01:35Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.997$3.1k
09-08 00:55Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$421.25
09-08 00:54Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$54.79
08-30 09:52Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?SELL0.995$3.1k
08-24 14:46Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?SELL0.9488795947$40.27
08-21 06:47Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.92$460.00
08-21 03:07Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.999$1.1k
07-30 01:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.053$116.60
07-23 09:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.924$124.72
07-23 06:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.42$84.00
07-23 06:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.41$820.00
07-23 06:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.788$78.79
07-23 02:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.799$912.77
07-23 02:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.798$47.85