PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa0330288693bfC18dFCAD3B00f678C834dB28613-1772673132969

0xb4977235337e6d783df16a80c4b46095537789b9

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$71.1k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.3370.205$2.7k−$1.7k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.4360.265$1.1k−$728.33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1010.044$387.49−$492.45
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner · LGD Gaming0.6600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$20.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.2620.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$174.00
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00−$4.5k
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$276.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.0940.000$0.00−$300.00
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score · No0.3200.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 04:31Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.29$1.4k
08-17 17:20Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.117$10.86
08-17 16:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.38$760.70
08-16 20:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.36$467.12
08-16 19:56Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.46$736.00
08-16 19:55Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.36$1.1k
08-16 14:39Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.34$269.62
08-16 04:38Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundBUY0.23$23.00
08-15 19:34Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
08-15 19:26Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026?BUY0.004$0.16
08-15 17:51Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.39$567.14
08-15 02:30Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-14 18:41Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.089$2.23
07-19 21:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
07-19 20:47Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6149999995$400.00