LordProtector
0x84207208bc185f902f452ea384d81560c9876183
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 1,265
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,265
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.528US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.532US military action against Iran before July?
- +$1.4kat 0.109Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.416Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$901.01at 0.460Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:01 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 10:56 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-28 20:14 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-28 20:14 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-25 23:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.077 | $11.55 |
| 10-25 23:06 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 10-25 21:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3579999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 21:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3579999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 08:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.233 | $25.63 |
| 10-20 08:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 21:10 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.518 | $25.90 |
| 10-16 16:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 10-16 16:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $79.29 |
| 10-15 18:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $21.73 |
| 09-29 10:06 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $61.14 |