PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LordProtector

0x84207208bc185f902f452ea384d81560c9876183

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
1,265
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,265
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.2370.205$1.3k−$207.28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2930.265$414.79−$44.41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0800.044$300.42−$239.19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5180.598$41.83+$5.58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? · Yes0.3500.415$20.75+$3.25
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2200.225$9.00+$0.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0380.035$4.34−$0.33
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Shifters0.0260.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$3.79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.3280.000$0.00−$13.10
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Fnatic0.4450.000$0.00−$8.90
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$10.20
Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$113.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:01Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.22$2.20
11-01 10:56Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.22$2.20
10-28 20:14LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.16$1.60
10-28 20:14LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.16$1.60
10-25 23:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.077$11.55
10-25 23:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.16$16.00
10-25 21:53Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3579999986$10.00
10-25 21:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3579999986$10.00
10-20 08:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.233$25.63
10-20 08:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
10-18 21:10Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.518$25.90
10-16 16:33Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.24$48.00
10-16 16:31Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.58$79.29
10-15 18:28Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.22$21.73
09-29 10:06Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.24$61.14