Touge
0x1c44887d6006ecb831f13fcb20b7e51395276c6b
- Realised P&L
- $912.96
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 548
- Open portfolio
- $504.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded548
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.500Solana above $170 on November 1?
- +$225.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?
- +$189.10at 0.570Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October?
- +$108.99at 0.679Will Solana reach $160 in October?
- +$70.55at 0.500Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 10:10 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.16 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.01822 | $9.11 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.01487 | $4.46 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Will Patrick Von Dohlen win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election? | SELL | 0.0093475862 | $0.27 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat? | SELL | 0.0236980467 | $7.73 |
| 10-30 04:59 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.18 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.0092459 | $3.70 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.03 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Cornell President out by October 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.86 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.62 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.22 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0031559583 | $0.76 |
| 10-27 03:59 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |