DualDelta
0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf
- Realised P&L
- $41.7k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $17.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.0kat 0.283Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.7kat 0.865AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
- +$6.2kat 0.221Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
- +$6.1kat 0.540Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$6.0kat 0.307Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:28 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.08 | $48.91 |
| 09-15 19:27 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $139.62 |
| 09-15 19:25 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1854705723 | $287.84 |
| 09-14 15:24 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1868732172 | $123.16 |
| 09-12 22:50 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.0300560137 | $107.30 |
| 09-12 22:49 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $142.28 |
| 09-12 22:48 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.176 | $27.15 |
| 09-12 22:45 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.8k |
| 09-08 10:01 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 09-08 09:45 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $7.37 |
| 09-08 09:45 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 09-08 09:44 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $496.17 |
| 09-08 09:39 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $883.16 |
| 09-07 13:19 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1451022115 | $262.12 |
| 09-07 13:18 | Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1149969159 | $126.78 |