PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

DualDelta

0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf

Realised P&L
$41.7k
Volume
$2.23M
Markets traded
327
Open portfolio
$17.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded327
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:28Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.08$48.91
09-15 19:27OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.2$139.62
09-15 19:25U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.1854705723$287.84
09-14 15:24U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.1868732172$123.16
09-12 22:50Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.0300560137$107.30
09-12 22:49Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$142.28
09-12 22:48Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.176$27.15
09-12 22:45Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.19$1.8k
09-08 10:01Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.42$8.40
09-08 09:45Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.44$7.37
09-08 09:45Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.46$2.3k
09-08 09:44Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.45$496.17
09-08 09:39Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?BUY0.43$883.16
09-07 13:19Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1451022115$262.12
09-07 13:18Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1149969159$126.78