PolyBot

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Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.036. up 0.026 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.009 to 0.037. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0483030
0.049289319
0.06133352
0.076200552
0.07795647
0.078187834
0.08510844
0.08620864
0.0872301,094
0.088501,144
0.104451,189
0.105361,225

Spread0.024Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0247070
0.02259129
0.018200329
0.016100429
0.0155,0005,429
0.0091,7777,206
0.0084,44611,652
0.0071,42913,081
0.0061,66714,747
0.0051,20015,947
0.0041,25017,197
0.0031,72018,917

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9767070
0.97859129
0.982200329
0.984100429
0.9855,0005,429
0.9911,7777,206
0.9924,44611,652
0.9931,42913,081
0.9941,66714,747
0.9951,20015,947
0.9961,25017,197
0.9971,72018,917

Spread0.024Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9523030
0.951289319
0.93933352
0.924200552
0.92395647
0.922187834
0.91510844
0.91420864
0.9132301,094
0.912501,144
0.896451,189
0.895361,225

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
bdb5264 - 37039Yes3,725.22
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes2,624.88
rewardbotsYes2,434.39
balthazarYes2,097.19
LornaPredictsYes1,231.35
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes1,223.35
zhou666Yes1,197.23
planktonXDYes849.65
maladecYes511.19
hetaczYes500
viniiYes499.55
bZk0UoYes431.54
BBB8866Yes430.92
jcsbergerYes411.61
GingerMcKennaYes406.85
rhinogiraffeYes374.93
MiaoAlphaYes364
OlkaYes350
Tee1000Yes321.57
thecaricatureYes300

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:11:15BUYYes0.03176813412$13.08
21:53:07SELLYes0.0175$0.09
19:03:37BUYYes0.0267413909210$5.61
22:28:01SELLYes0.0162002403200$3.24
22:15:22BUYYes0.0250288794200$5.00
20:36:58SELLYes0.01728$0.48
11:06:16SELLNo0.9815$14.70
11:06:03BUYNo0.98315$14.74
08:21:39BUYNo0.98410$9.84
08:21:39SELLYes0.01629$0.46
08:21:24SELLYes0.01710$0.17
08:21:24SELLYes0.01730$0.51
03:27:21SELLYes0.01731$0.53
14:31:04BUYYes0.023659539242$1.00
10:07:12BUYNo0.98599998821$1.00
10:03:03BUYNo0.9868$7.89
10:02:49BUYNo0.98633$32.29
10:02:31BUYNo0.98630$29.58
10:02:28BUYNo0.984555555690$88.61
10:02:27BUYNo0.9851$0.82
10:02:24BUYNo0.98433$32.23
10:02:18BUYNo0.98552$51.25
06:56:48SELLYes0.016376152106$1.74
22:16:58BUYYes0.024164$3.94
22:16:06SELLYes0.0234$0.09