jcsberger
0xadaf137fbfe5e20ed662fa72bb69a4ab6fce3da0
- Realised P&L
- $990.69
- Volume
- $132.8k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $75.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$848.49at 0.479Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$219.55at 0.771Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?
- +$105.36at 0.699Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
- +$69.67at 0.410Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by December 31?
- +$37.72at 0.942WHOOP IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:33 | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $145.36 |
| 10-29 17:32 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-29 17:24 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-29 17:24 | Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $33.60 |
| 10-29 17:16 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.973 | $48.65 |
| 10-29 17:10 | Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $80.00 |
| 10-29 17:09 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.955963296 | $1.2k |
| 10-29 17:08 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? | BUY | 0.9551905025 | $432.46 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $226.24 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | BUY | 0.9267844907 | $546.41 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 10-29 17:04 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 10-29 17:04 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $96.65 |
| 10-29 17:04 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $28.47 |
| 10-29 17:04 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9474977081 | $465.08 |