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Traders

jcsberger

0xadaf137fbfe5e20ed662fa72bb69a4ab6fce3da0

Realised P&L
$990.69
Volume
$132.8k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$75.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.9530.967$6.6k+$90.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.979$5.3k+$70.93
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9100.925$4.5k+$71.00
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.9600.983$4.5k+$104.08
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.9590.972$4.4k+$58.22
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · No0.8870.920$3.8k+$137.67
Epic Games IPO before 2027? · No0.9390.983$3.5k+$159.06
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? · No0.9540.974$3.3k+$66.78
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · No0.9590.986$2.6k+$69.20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.9460.971$1.7k+$43.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.971$1.7k+$20.75
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · No0.9350.960$1.7k+$44.11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · No0.9750.968$1.6k−$12.39
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9490.961$1.6k+$18.50
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31? · No0.9400.963$1.5k+$37.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:33Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027?BUY0.79$145.36
10-29 17:32Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?BUY0.95$4.75
10-29 17:24Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?BUY0.94$47.00
10-29 17:24Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?SELL0.96$33.60
10-29 17:16Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?BUY0.973$48.65
10-29 17:10Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?BUY0.64$80.00
10-29 17:09Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.955963296$1.2k
10-29 17:08Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?BUY0.9551905025$432.46
10-29 17:05Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?BUY0.94$226.24
10-29 17:05Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?BUY0.9267844907$546.41
10-29 17:05Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$475.00
10-29 17:04Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$475.00
10-29 17:04Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.948$96.65
10-29 17:04Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.949$28.47
10-29 17:04Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9474977081$465.08