PolyBot

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Traders

sbsb

0x58547cb94ee3d4cf07c4b91d7e8659ae9e2f3f2e

Realised P&L
$11.5k
Volume
$143.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$305.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0400.017$305.98−$435.99
Israel military response against Iran in October? · No0.1490.000$0.00−$60.00
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München0.2300.000$0.00−$102.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:41Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.015$57.43
10-29 08:02Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.04$44.00
10-28 10:28Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.04$3.20
10-28 10:28Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.038$24.27
10-27 20:16Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.036$2.27
10-27 20:15Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.035$1.05
10-27 20:15Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.032$2.65
10-27 10:34Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.032$16.89
10-27 10:34Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.032$39.10
10-27 10:34Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.032$48.00
10-27 10:33Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0316617667$47.49
10-27 08:27Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0237343896$12.93
10-27 08:27Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.022$2.12
10-26 14:52Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.034$1.02
10-26 14:52Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.033$0.30