sbsb
0x58547cb94ee3d4cf07c4b91d7e8659ae9e2f3f2e
- Realised P&L
- $11.5k
- Volume
- $143.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $305.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.017 | $305.98 | −$435.99 |
| Israel military response against Iran in October? · No | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.9kat 0.151Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$864.59at 0.159Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-10.84at 0.042Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:41 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.015 | $57.43 |
| 10-29 08:02 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $44.00 |
| 10-28 10:28 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.20 |
| 10-28 10:28 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $24.27 |
| 10-27 20:16 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $2.27 |
| 10-27 20:15 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.035 | $1.05 |
| 10-27 20:15 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.65 |
| 10-27 10:34 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $16.89 |
| 10-27 10:34 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $39.10 |
| 10-27 10:34 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.032 | $48.00 |
| 10-27 10:33 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0316617667 | $47.49 |
| 10-27 08:27 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0237343896 | $12.93 |
| 10-27 08:27 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.12 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.02 |
| 10-26 14:52 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.033 | $0.30 |