0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff
0xfe726a6efb705a7e17f8200919b1f05a8a17f18c
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 893
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded893
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.221Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$2.3kat 0.576Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.755Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.708Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$1.0kat 0.894Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:18 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.2358606255 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 21:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.479616307 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 21:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 20:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.5099999596 | $2.90 |
| 08-01 20:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.90 |
| 08-01 14:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.4799999931 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 06:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 05:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.0599999978 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 05:55 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 08-01 01:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.552608514 | $6.31 |
| 08-01 01:17 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.015696 | $3.92 |
| 08-01 01:16 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | SELL | 0.0020169692 | $2.02 |
| 08-01 01:15 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.46 | $27.60 |
| 08-01 01:14 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.0180510909 | $9.93 |
| 08-01 01:13 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $8.00 |