0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff
0xfe726a6efb705a7e17f8200919b1f05a8a17f18c
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 940
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded940
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.221Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$2.3kat 0.582Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.755Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.708Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$1.0kat 0.894Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 05:40 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.261 | $57.42 |
| 10-17 05:20 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 10-17 05:20 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 10-17 05:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 10-17 05:02 | Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $21.99 |
| 10-17 04:50 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2156004 | $107.80 |
| 10-17 04:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 10-17 04:42 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 04:25 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? | BUY | 0.158 | $18.96 |
| 10-17 04:25 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.073617 | $73.62 |
| 10-17 04:22 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.057 | $3.99 |
| 10-17 04:22 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0564086 | $14.10 |
| 10-17 04:21 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.04488 | $11.22 |
| 10-17 04:20 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1142150522 | $114.21 |
| 10-17 04:13 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.717 | $35.85 |