PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff

0xfe726a6efb705a7e17f8200919b1f05a8a17f18c

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$1.29M
Markets traded
940
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded940
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.700$420.00+$0.00
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.735$147.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · Yes0.4900.475$142.50−$4.50
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2160.240$120.00+$12.20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1400.120$120.00−$20.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6300.555$111.00−$15.00
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.0740.108$108.50+$34.88
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6900.530$106.00−$32.00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.6900.675$101.25−$2.25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1140.091$91.50−$22.71
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.4100.395$79.00−$3.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October? · Yes0.6400.725$72.50+$8.50
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.255$63.75−$1.25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2400.245$61.25+$1.25
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.2610.271$59.62+$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 05:40Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?BUY0.261$57.42
10-17 05:20US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.8$40.00
10-17 05:20Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$148.00
10-17 05:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.22$44.00
10-17 05:02Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?BUY0.55$21.99
10-17 04:50Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?BUY0.2156004$107.80
10-17 04:48Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?BUY0.64$64.00
10-17 04:42Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
10-17 04:25Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?BUY0.158$18.96
10-17 04:25AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.073617$73.62
10-17 04:22Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.057$3.99
10-17 04:22Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0564086$14.10
10-17 04:21Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.04488$11.22
10-17 04:20Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1142150522$114.21
10-17 04:13Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.717$35.85