Ondra
0x849ccb5907938ce8be18ed5dbf583288e2da4009
- Realised P&L
- $31.3k
- Volume
- $63.77M
- Markets traded
- 3,240
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,240
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.7kat 0.535Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$7.1kat 0.642Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.892Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.726Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.032Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:25 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.188035786 | $70.20 |
| 09-17 21:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 21:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $104.50 |
| 09-17 21:23 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $112.00 |
| 09-17 21:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.52 |
| 09-17 20:47 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.52 |
| 09-17 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 18:18 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.56 |
| 09-17 17:45 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.16 |
| 09-17 17:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 17:24 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.26 |
| 09-17 17:22 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.17 |
| 09-17 16:58 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $6.05 |
| 09-17 16:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.84 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.92 |