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Traders

Ondra

0x849ccb5907938ce8be18ed5dbf583288e2da4009

Realised P&L
$20.9k
Volume
$64.37M
Markets traded
3,283
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,283
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1070.095$747.00−$93.99
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0710.055$545.21−$154.67
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0340.050$536.00+$171.87
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.2270.435$515.91+$246.27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.0940.095$386.75+$3.93
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.2190.105$333.62−$363.48
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.0730.055$326.87−$109.10
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes0.2700.305$305.00+$35.00
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1970.195$292.50−$2.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0210.018$277.47−$39.66
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0220.019$271.12−$37.90
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0200.024$261.68+$35.89
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.015$256.45−$49.22
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.0800.080$252.96+$0.00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0690.188$252.41+$159.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:54Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?SELL0.002$0.15
10-30 14:54Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0038415054$0.86
10-30 08:57Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6790055871$151.91
10-30 08:57Will there be at least 4700 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1208289474$9.18
10-25 21:07Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.27$270.00
10-25 21:07Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.1966666667$295.00
10-25 21:07Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$180.00
10-01 10:16Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?SELL0.89$61.41
10-01 10:16Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?SELL0.8$261.76
10-01 10:16Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?SELL0.67$32.95
10-01 10:16Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?SELL0.57$207.58
10-01 10:15Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?SELL0.2175780069$380.74
10-01 10:15Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.596611937$481.21
09-30 19:39Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0341051078$15.02
09-30 19:39Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0342387639$46.99