zhou666
0x9a380aab3be1f8fba6e6096c6a9cf2d8feff260a
- Realised P&L
- $469.96
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $338.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.77at 0.414Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$65.00at 0.400Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$62.43at 0.243Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$44.00at 0.520Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$16.74at 0.580Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:01 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 09-19 15:57 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.21 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.64 |
| 09-17 01:39 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 09-17 01:34 | Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-09 17:32 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:31 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 08-30 15:38 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.40 |
| 06-13 16:13 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.149 | $1.49 |
| 06-09 08:09 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 06-09 08:09 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 06-09 08:08 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 06-07 15:28 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.16 |
| 06-07 15:15 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0469047619 | $5.91 |
| 06-07 15:12 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.69 |