PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403

0x75772c0fad8bb3eefb12bae32eef8a58e7ee8fb9

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$373.8k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.1070.936$1.4k+$1.2k
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0380.117$638.42+$432.03
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · No0.3500.535$611.99+$211.96
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.1800.445$598.08+$356.16
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0560.050$365.94−$49.66
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1220.322$320.07+$199.06
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0970.244$275.23+$166.12
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · No0.1590.425$255.00+$159.52
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.3100.270$229.50−$34.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0280.038$180.18+$46.86
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · No0.0800.390$169.26+$134.54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0250.106$162.94+$124.04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0770.188$161.25+$95.09
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.5000.940$156.04+$73.04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3410.080$126.88−$413.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 11:44Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.17$19.38
10-20 11:44Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.16$42.61
10-16 06:13Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.027$9.42
10-08 21:26Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$58.52
10-08 21:17Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
10-08 21:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$10.50
10-08 21:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0351163917$178.39
10-08 21:10Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?BUY0.0366322304$29.89
10-08 21:08Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0769300465$66.16
10-08 21:07Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.026$46.23
10-08 21:06Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0254252418$38.90
10-08 21:03Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.007$3.75
10-08 21:01Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.116$5.10
10-08 05:29Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1099705015$37.28
09-20 18:17Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.8957252982$510.56