0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403
0x75772c0fad8bb3eefb12bae32eef8a58e7ee8fb9
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $373.8k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.030Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
- +$1.0kat 0.154Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$733.01at 0.324Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$470.92at 0.110Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$407.95at 0.590Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:44 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $19.38 |
| 10-20 11:44 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $42.61 |
| 10-16 06:13 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.027 | $9.42 |
| 10-08 21:26 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $58.52 |
| 10-08 21:17 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 21:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.50 |
| 10-08 21:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0351163917 | $178.39 |
| 10-08 21:10 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? | BUY | 0.0366322304 | $29.89 |
| 10-08 21:08 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0769300465 | $66.16 |
| 10-08 21:07 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.026 | $46.23 |
| 10-08 21:06 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0254252418 | $38.90 |
| 10-08 21:03 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.75 |
| 10-08 21:01 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.116 | $5.10 |
| 10-08 05:29 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1099705015 | $37.28 |
| 09-20 18:17 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.8957252982 | $510.56 |