rebotsliaf
0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9
- Realised P&L
- $74.4k
- Volume
- $22.62M
- Markets traded
- 602
- Open portfolio
- $120.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded602
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.0kat 0.225Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.5kat 0.393US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$46.7kat 0.257Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
- +$25.5kat 0.217US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$24.8kat 0.521Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.563 | $3.4k |
| 09-17 03:19 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.131 | $74.87 |
| 09-14 08:01 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.68 | $7.5k |
| 08-29 02:08 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.146 | $946.10 |
| 08-28 00:02 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.55 | $1.2k |
| 08-22 03:14 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.19 | $713.90 |
| 08-22 02:51 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.36 | $95.38 |
| 08-21 22:02 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | SELL | 0.91 | $3.5k |
| 08-21 21:58 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | SELL | 0.65 | $299.65 |
| 08-21 21:48 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.56 | $2.9k |
| 08-21 21:22 | Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | BUY | 0.65 | $257.73 |
| 08-21 20:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.68 |
| 08-21 20:39 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.141 | $4.64 |
| 08-21 16:14 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 08-21 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $9.16 |