rebotsliaf
0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9
- Realised P&L
- $82.1k
- Volume
- $24.18M
- Markets traded
- 659
- Open portfolio
- $191.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded659
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.9kat 0.171Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.5kat 0.393US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$36.6kat 0.142Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
- +$25.5kat 0.217US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$24.8kat 0.521Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:36 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.2k |
| 10-25 23:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.054 | $812.37 |
| 10-25 22:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2100151806 | $1.3k |
| 10-25 22:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.383 | $1.7k |
| 10-25 22:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2700117769 | $229.27 |
| 10-25 21:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.568 | $216.00 |
| 10-25 21:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5564524298 | $16.26 |
| 10-25 21:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3351314416 | $2.2k |
| 10-25 19:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.23 | $766.59 |
| 10-25 19:40 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.41 | $211.60 |
| 10-24 14:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.715 | $436.15 |
| 10-23 19:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.0k |
| 10-22 00:52 | Pacers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.45 | $2.5k |
| 10-21 02:19 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.63 | $3.5k |
| 10-19 18:19 | Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.42 | $143.22 |