PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AlexJupiter

0x0c50ced548409c13a4ecd5515462bce84fbc15ef

Realised P&L
$-14.27
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$23.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0780.017$22.51−$84.49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.183$0.61−$0.39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3600.085$0.24−$0.76
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00−$1.00
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany · Germany0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$10.00
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 14:04Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0810952363$100.00
09-27 12:46Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0532019699$2.00
09-27 12:45Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0535004127$5.00
03-23 15:20Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?BUY0.3489998353$1.00
03-14 20:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
03-14 20:38US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
03-14 20:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
03-07 17:54Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
02-15 20:51Men's Group C - USA vs. GermanyBUY0.05$1.00
02-09 10:31Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2189998312$1.00
01-06 12:14Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
01-06 12:12Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.29999982$1.00
01-06 12:11Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
01-06 12:11Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
01-06 12:09Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.2199998548$1.00