AlexJupiter
0x0c50ced548409c13a4ecd5515462bce84fbc15ef
- Realised P&L
- $-14.27
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $23.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.56at 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
- +$1.63at 0.380Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:04 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0810952363 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 12:46 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0532019699 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 12:45 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0535004127 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 15:20 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.3489998353 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 20:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 20:38 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 20:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 03-07 17:54 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 20:51 | Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 10:31 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2189998312 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 12:14 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 12:12 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 12:11 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 12:11 | Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 12:09 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |