bdb5264 - 37039
0xb26156d7f857a341c2b9a34636c02f54958c09a7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $105.3k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $960.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$745.96at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$560.18at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$389.79at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$256.35at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$228.48at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999993 | $78.25 |
| 09-13 19:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 19:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 19:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 19:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 22:23 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999965 | $41.17 |
| 09-10 16:01 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 16:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 16:00 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 14:33 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.172836347 | $93.81 |
| 09-10 14:29 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $97.64 |
| 08-30 13:53 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0554201471 | $93.14 |
| 08-24 15:05 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0323730535 | $66.19 |
| 08-08 06:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999962 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 00:38 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.01 | $20.91 |