PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

bdb5264 - 37039

0xb26156d7f857a341c2b9a34636c02f54958c09a7

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$105.3k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$960.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3970.465$315.93+$46.51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2130.205$282.10$11.71
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No0.1630.175$161.27+$11.28
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0430.036$135.97$23.36
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.2200.285$64.77+$14.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.5520.000$0.00$95.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Down0.5270.000$0.00$50.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 17? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$101.20
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.4510.000$0.00$119.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$44.54
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · No0.5110.000$0.00$500.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.4510.000$0.00$119.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.5310.000$0.00$100.46
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · No0.6350.000$0.00$824.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 12:03Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999993$78.25
09-13 19:37Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.1699999997$100.00
09-13 19:37Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2399999998$100.00
09-13 19:37Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999991$100.00
09-13 19:37Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2399999998$100.00
09-10 22:23Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999965$41.17
09-10 16:01Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
09-10 16:00Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999984$50.00
09-10 16:00Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2199999993$50.00
09-10 14:33Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.172836347$93.81
09-10 14:29Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.83$97.64
08-30 13:53Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0554201471$93.14
08-24 15:05Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0323730535$66.19
08-08 06:43Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.8499999962$100.00
08-08 00:38Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.01$20.91