Violet-Airmail
0xb26156d7f857a341c2b9a34636c02f54958c09a7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $117.3k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $859.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.83at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$368.24at 0.406Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$298.64at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$129.53at 0.227Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
- +$106.40at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 23:04 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0719000108 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 23:04 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0504354317 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 06:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 06:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.306475531 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 06:54 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $351.22 |
| 10-15 06:52 | Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.1647791927 | $68.58 |
| 10-07 07:44 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $64.96 |
| 10-07 07:43 | Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $21.04 |
| 10-07 07:43 | Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $46.45 |
| 10-07 07:31 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.163042104 | $88.77 |
| 10-07 07:30 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.2265405893 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 08:04 | Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999983 | $22.00 |
| 10-06 08:04 | Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.9256083654 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 08:03 | Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.2487958282 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 07:59 | Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.2393680664 | $20.00 |