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Traders

Violet-Airmail

0xb26156d7f857a341c2b9a34636c02f54958c09a7

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$117.3k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$859.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.2130.165$227.06−$66.75
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No0.1880.090$108.11−$117.16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.0700.101$93.26+$28.30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · Yes0.0500.044$87.24−$12.76
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.4200.340$80.95−$19.05
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0430.017$61.47−$97.86
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.3060.180$58.73−$41.27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes0.0720.033$45.20−$54.80
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.2400.075$31.18−$68.82
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.070$30.22−$69.78
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? · No0.6000.445$20.77−$7.23
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2390.185$15.46−$4.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Up0.5780.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Down0.5190.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 17? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$101.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 23:04Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUY0.0719000108$100.00
10-15 23:04Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.0504354317$100.00
10-15 06:55Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.4199999984$100.00
10-15 06:55Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.306475531$100.00
10-15 06:54Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.36$351.22
10-15 06:52Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?SELL0.1647791927$68.58
10-07 07:44Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.07$64.96
10-07 07:43Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?SELL0.88$21.04
10-07 07:43Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?SELL0.86$46.45
10-07 07:31Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.163042104$88.77
10-07 07:30Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.2265405893$100.00
10-06 08:04Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.9199999983$22.00
10-06 08:04Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.9256083654$50.00
10-06 08:03Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.2487958282$50.00
10-06 07:59Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?BUY0.2393680664$20.00
Trader Violet-Airmail · PolyBot Pro