Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.93. up 0.12 over the period, from 0.81. Range 0.81 to 0.93. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	332	332
0.95	523	855
0.96	86	941
0.97	20	961
0.98	995	1,956
0.99	19,338	21,295

Spread0.02Mid0.93

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	446	446
0.91	486	932
0.90	810	1,741
0.87	1,600	3,341
0.86	5,948	9,289
0.83	500	9,789
0.80	86	9,875
0.75	20	9,895
0.71	100	9,995
0.58	20	10,015
0.33	50	10,065
0.31	20	10,085

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	446	446
0.09	486	932
0.10	810	1,741
0.13	1,600	3,341
0.14	5,948	9,289
0.17	500	9,789
0.20	86	9,875
0.25	20	9,895
0.29	100	9,995
0.42	20	10,015
0.67	50	10,065
0.69	20	10,085

Spread0.02Mid0.07

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	332	332
0.05	523	855
0.04	86	941
0.03	20	961
0.02	995	1,956
0.01	19,338	21,295

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
123pocky	Yes	1,499.99
0x241F...e15a	Yes	1,292.67
0xf8FB8aB02faC704f091055763f68FDBd1fc8F213-1781427005643	Yes	746.03
caspar1248	Yes	676.55
MEPP	Yes	590.05
Jocelin	Yes	461.29
ohyeeoh	Yes	370.89
lisa67	Yes	300
SingletonFamilyFund	Yes	250
bmtr	Yes	248.27
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	243.02
Rr55	Yes	210
Sheehave	Yes	178.57
LornaPredicts	Yes	123.59
nelsonc19	Yes	120
mehanizator	Yes	115.45
from00	Yes	107.53
0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396	Yes	69.61
parameter1	Yes	63.49
wert4	Yes	57.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:57:52	SELL	No	0.06	1	$0.07
08:57:27	BUY	Yes	0.94	20	$19.20
08:57:27	BUY	Yes	0.93	20	$19.00
08:57:25	BUY	Yes	0.94	13	$12.22
08:57:25	SELL	No	0.07	42	$2.93
05:20:21	BUY	Yes	0.93	2	$1.69
00:26:00	SELL	Yes	0.92	6	$5.90
15:46:19	SELL	No	0.07	20	$1.40
15:46:00	BUY	Yes	0.92	30	$27.60
15:46:00	SELL	No	0.09	100	$9.00
15:01:07	SELL	Yes	0.9	6	$5.00
09:15:25	BUY	Yes	0.9	26	$23.40
17:07:30	SELL	No	0.1	8	$0.81
16:34:33	BUY	Yes	0.9	30	$27.00
15:42:54	SELL	No	0.09	41	$3.65
15:42:42	BUY	No	0.11	2	$0.23
10:51:39	SELL	No	0.09	41	$3.65
10:30:13	SELL	Yes	0.88	5	$4.67
10:07:54	BUY	No	0.12	9	$1.08
10:06:40	SELL	No	0.11	60	$6.60
09:41:24	BUY	Yes	0.89	5	$4.45
09:30:12	BUY	Yes	0.8899999996	27	$24.34
09:30:10	SELL	Yes	0.87	3	$2.30
09:28:49	SELL	No	0.11	6	$0.61
09:26:42	BUY	Yes	0.8699999982	6	$4.83