123pocky
0x06b6872ce4b3cdb90049657cd2937a518a38eba6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $457.7k
- Markets traded
- 237
- Open portfolio
- $21.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded237
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$890.63at 0.922Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$821.21at 0.829US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$555.43at 0.884Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
- +$554.22at 0.760Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$533.60at 0.624Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 19:28 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.946 | $0.19 |
| 09-11 15:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.82 | $2.6k |
| 09-11 14:58 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.0k |
| 09-11 14:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $719.99 |
| 07-18 20:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.3k |
| 07-14 17:08 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.78 |
| 06-02 14:06 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.962 | $90.01 |
| 06-02 14:06 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.962 | $90.01 |
| 06-02 14:06 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.9613490082 | $125.52 |
| 06-02 14:00 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $345.29 |
| 05-27 15:54 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $20.77 |
| 05-27 06:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.016 | $7.19 |
| 05-23 04:16 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $27.18 |
| 05-21 17:59 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $229.19 |
| 05-19 21:25 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.94 | $467.18 |