PolyBot

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Traders

MEPP

0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790

Realised P&L
$562.1k
Volume
$41.68M
Markets traded
1,181
Open portfolio
$580.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,181
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8970.925$87.8k+$2.6k
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8270.964$79.8k+$11.3k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7730.863$41.2k+$4.3k
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8100.967$23.3k+$3.8k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9400.971$19.4k+$620.02
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8700.925$16.4k+$971.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4420.586$15.2k+$3.7k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7090.735$15.2k+$532.15
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.7500.923$14.8k+$2.8k
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8450.914$13.1k+$997.17
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.8280.935$11.2k+$1.3k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8130.960$10.8k+$1.6k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6520.715$10.4k+$906.98
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.9290.966$10.1k+$382.84
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.8790.905$10.1k+$286.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.8954219714$7.4k
11-01 19:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.959$4.8k
11-01 19:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.26$899.62
11-01 18:47Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.82465695$3.3k
11-01 06:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?SELL0.162495847$121.29
11-01 06:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?SELL0.17$34.50
11-01 06:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?SELL0.3901391493$187.29
11-01 03:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.41$2.1k
11-01 00:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.93$4.7k
11-01 00:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.93$4.7k
11-01 00:06Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?BUY0.76$9.12
10-31 22:46Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6740703293$2.6k
10-31 21:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.77$1.1k
10-31 20:49Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.54$70.20
10-31 19:08Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.27$316.98