MEPP
0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790
- Realised P&L
- $562.1k
- Volume
- $41.68M
- Markets traded
- 1,181
- Open portfolio
- $580.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,181
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.7kat 0.295Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$39.0kat 0.278US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$35.0kat 0.692Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$31.6kat 0.823Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$27.0kat 0.691Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.8954219714 | $7.4k |
| 11-01 19:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.959 | $4.8k |
| 11-01 19:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $899.62 |
| 11-01 18:47 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.82465695 | $3.3k |
| 11-01 06:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | SELL | 0.162495847 | $121.29 |
| 11-01 06:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | SELL | 0.17 | $34.50 |
| 11-01 06:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | SELL | 0.3901391493 | $187.29 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.1k |
| 11-01 00:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 11-01 00:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 11-01 00:06 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $9.12 |
| 10-31 22:46 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6740703293 | $2.6k |
| 10-31 21:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 20:49 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $70.20 |
| 10-31 19:08 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $316.98 |