PolyBot

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Traders

MEPP

0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790

Realised P&L
$574.5k
Volume
$39.44M
Markets traded
1,095
Open portfolio
$531.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,095
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8260.948$79.0k+$10.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8260.935$71.5k+$8.3k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7720.834$42.3k+$3.1k
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.9530.984$29.5k+$933.56
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8100.954$22.9k+$3.5k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8550.835$21.8k$530.32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9400.945$18.9k+$100.02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8750.945$16.3k+$1.2k
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9040.984$16.2k+$1.3k
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8430.867$15.9k+$433.10
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.7330.899$12.7k+$2.4k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.5810.625$12.2k+$861.18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8130.936$10.5k+$1.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6560.665$9.2k+$120.36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7540.935$8.1k+$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.2001967906$483.43
09-17 04:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.66$404.96
09-17 04:01Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.0357761375$341.73
09-17 03:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.79$4.0k
09-17 03:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.6889834712$677.78
09-17 03:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.65$2.3k
09-17 00:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.22$564.18
09-17 00:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.08$600.00
09-17 00:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.033$132.00
09-16 22:25France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.042$2.10
09-16 21:44Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.48$66.20
09-16 16:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.1$567.55
09-16 09:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?BUY0.38$105.26
09-16 09:28Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?BUY0.728$176.54
09-16 09:26Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8592413672$488.95