Jocelin
0x7223f2064206ceb63e8269f7b47aecca922952a9
- Realised P&L
- $95.21
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $624.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.930 | $429.00 | +$29.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.880 | $138.22 | −$4.71 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.950 | $57.23 | +$7.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.32at 0.867Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$10.14at 0.813Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$2.04at 0.913Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.875Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:27 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $142.93 |
| 09-15 01:27 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-14 15:25 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8671407363 | $400.00 |
| 09-14 11:14 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9003880994 | $108.34 |
| 09-14 11:13 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9578459247 | $488.76 |
| 09-08 04:47 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8062521154 | $97.02 |
| 09-08 04:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $417.00 |
| 09-04 02:20 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $23.22 |
| 07-28 10:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.909999979 | $9.96 |
| 07-28 09:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999521 | $11.41 |
| 07-28 09:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $11.41 |
| 06-20 07:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |