0x241F...e15a
0x241ff966f22080fbee3928e194763e575847e15a
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $2.06M
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.89at 0.795Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$677.46at 0.883Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$648.97at 0.536US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$580.65at 0.855Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$555.96at 0.031US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $870.00 |
| 09-21 05:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 05:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $30.00 |
| 09-03 21:27 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $564.00 |
| 09-02 20:59 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9642616015 | $1.3k |
| 09-02 20:20 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9639322301 | $1.2k |
| 09-02 19:59 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $642.98 |
| 08-31 20:57 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $105.35 |
| 08-31 20:17 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.3851314945 | $150.10 |
| 08-31 05:35 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $993.05 |
| 08-30 20:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.6k |
| 08-30 19:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $21.00 |
| 08-27 07:01 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $280.19 |
| 08-27 06:04 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $945.17 |
| 08-25 17:03 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.0553714286 | $19.38 |