from00
0xc1ab02a366bb858eec3ca683121eb500cf4c68f2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.74at 0.481Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
- +$88.70at 0.695Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$69.16at 0.308Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$66.12at 0.339Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?
- +$61.25at 0.388Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 03:22 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $29.84 |
| 10-02 16:35 | Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.2793027062 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 16:30 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7851786452 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 16:29 | Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 16:19 | Nothing Ever Happens: October | BUY | 0.0964766719 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 16:18 | Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026? | BUY | 0.0904159132 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 16:07 | US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31? | BUY | 0.8999521279 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 16:03 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BUY | 0.0489999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 16:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8587879367 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 02:18 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.210909788 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 02:18 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5922393135 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 02:18 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7591508518 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 02:17 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8048200156 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 02:17 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9353233824 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:01 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.9731559 | $97.32 |