PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mehanizator

0xaaf7948cec26d8b164934b9da65f8ff15a5c2e27

Realised P&L
$7.1k
Volume
$18.38M
Markets traded
8,547
Open portfolio
$5.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,547
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9000.975$390.00+$30.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.8370.840$336.00+$1.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9830.998$299.25+$4.35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9580.987$295.95+$8.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.6700.685$274.00+$6.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8700.890$267.00+$6.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4870.415$249.00$43.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.8040.810$247.05+$1.95
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7530.795$238.50+$12.50
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5100.585$234.00+$30.00
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$195.50+$10.51
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.9110.939$187.70+$5.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.7030.540$162.00$49.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4150.405$162.00$4.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7550.775$155.00+$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:14Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.415$3.68
08-02 16:59Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0140156318$7.12
08-02 16:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0150754307$2.91
08-02 16:58Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.016240314$0.64
08-02 03:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.014$2.80
08-01 19:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$4.00
08-01 19:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 19:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 16:132026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.005$0.02
08-01 15:53Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
08-01 14:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.254$25.40
08-01 13:32Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.82$4.10
08-01 12:57Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.65$65.00
08-01 12:52Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.0243255738$2.99
08-01 12:51Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.029$2.21