PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mehanizator

0xaaf7948cec26d8b164934b9da65f8ff15a5c2e27

Realised P&L
$7.2k
Volume
$19.00M
Markets traded
8,984
Open portfolio
$14.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,984
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5550.680$3.5k+$636.47
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.6090.760$2.7k+$532.32
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? · Yes0.6040.610$1.5k+$13.16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.740$1.3k+$180.93
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5070.470$900.16−$71.90
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7340.840$792.77+$100.19
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2650.230$616.57−$93.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5260.530$423.99+$3.45
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1230.095$289.10−$85.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.041$219.92−$131.12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.0250.025$195.73−$0.26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3720.315$189.00−$34.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.125$187.50+$67.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.085$170.00+$33.75
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1190.089$164.54−$55.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:18Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?BUY0.6087208$152.18
10-31 18:28Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$37.06
10-31 13:39Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.53$212.00
10-31 10:02Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?BUY0.55$247.50
10-31 08:21Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.48$169.44
10-31 08:20Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.017$13.04
10-30 17:54Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.89$128.82
10-30 17:48Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.9$540.00
10-30 16:32Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.91$19.11
10-30 16:30Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.9$194.26
10-30 16:30Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.91$16.75
10-30 16:29Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.9$264.59
10-30 15:55Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.9$90.00
10-30 15:27Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.92$14.69
10-30 13:31Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.89$361.34