mehanizator
0xaaf7948cec26d8b164934b9da65f8ff15a5c2e27
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $18.38M
- Markets traded
- 8,547
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,547
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$528.43at 0.003Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
- +$322.15at 0.003Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
- +$270.30at 0.154U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$263.86at 0.002Will NRG win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$163.17at 0.003Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:14 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.415 | $3.68 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0140156318 | $7.12 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0150754307 | $2.91 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.016240314 | $0.64 |
| 08-02 03:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.80 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 19:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | SELL | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 14:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.254 | $25.40 |
| 08-01 13:32 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-01 12:57 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 08-01 12:52 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0243255738 | $2.99 |
| 08-01 12:51 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.029 | $2.21 |