mehanizator
0xaaf7948cec26d8b164934b9da65f8ff15a5c2e27
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $19.00M
- Markets traded
- 8,984
- Open portfolio
- $14.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,984
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.399Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.558Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$791.08at 0.550Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
- +$528.43at 0.003Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
- +$496.94at 0.077Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:18 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? | BUY | 0.6087208 | $152.18 |
| 10-31 18:28 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $37.06 |
| 10-31 13:39 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $212.00 |
| 10-31 10:02 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $247.50 |
| 10-31 08:21 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $169.44 |
| 10-31 08:20 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.017 | $13.04 |
| 10-30 17:54 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $128.82 |
| 10-30 17:48 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $540.00 |
| 10-30 16:32 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 10-30 16:30 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $194.26 |
| 10-30 16:30 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $16.75 |
| 10-30 16:29 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $264.59 |
| 10-30 15:55 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 10-30 15:27 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $14.69 |
| 10-30 13:31 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $361.34 |