lisa67
0x57684ad0b4391b8d4d2c7a379b8c7803f3b408fd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $349.4k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.74at 0.242Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
- +$184.10at 0.730US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$152.76at 0.763Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$143.11at 0.796Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$138.15at 0.253Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:33 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $412.79 |
| 09-16 16:41 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $205.00 |
| 09-16 06:20 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $198.00 |
| 09-16 06:19 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $194.99 |
| 09-16 06:16 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $99.48 |
| 09-16 06:06 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $206.80 |
| 09-16 05:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.941 | $507.64 |
| 09-16 05:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 09-12 15:33 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.6414666667 | $96.22 |
| 09-11 14:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.18 | $54.00 |
| 09-10 12:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $114.00 |
| 09-10 12:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.5313 | $132.82 |
| 09-10 09:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.2664426667 | $39.97 |
| 09-09 11:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.944 | $448.40 |
| 09-08 05:37 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.79 | $118.50 |