Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2029-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.33 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.13 to 0.48. 16 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	18,985	18,985
0.17	28,529	47,514
0.18	14,023	61,537
0.19	3,800	65,337
0.20	67	65,403
0.91	44	65,448
0.95	2,000	67,448
0.96	25	67,473
0.98	149	67,622
0.99	155	67,777

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	26,120	26,120
0.14	134,434	160,554
0.13	346,060	506,614
0.12	227,826	734,441
0.07	343	734,784
0.06	333	735,117
0.05	400	735,517
0.04	500	736,017
0.03	667	736,684
0.02	1,006	737,690
0.01	2,442	740,132

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	26,120	26,120
0.86	134,434	160,554
0.87	346,060	506,614
0.88	227,826	734,441
0.93	343	734,784
0.94	333	735,117
0.95	400	735,517
0.96	500	736,017
0.97	667	736,684
0.98	1,006	737,690
0.99	2,442	740,132

Spread0.01Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	18,985	18,985
0.83	28,529	47,514
0.82	14,023	61,537
0.81	3,800	65,337
0.80	67	65,403
0.09	44	65,448
0.05	2,000	67,448
0.04	25	67,473
0.02	149	67,622
0.01	155	67,777

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AiBird	Yes	6,116.69
eggsando	Yes	102
balabalababalabala	No	1,800
lissartter	No	1,685.55
onlyupcapital	No	1,000
Cupzey	No	400
GuyFromTinder	No	300
DanGabriel	No	200
lolzzzlol	No	200
Mithrandir.	No	200
arrpadex	No	200
ZinfandelEnjoyer	No	200
PaddyAlpha	No	18
Conpink	No	5.11
GollumGekko	No	5.03
OneLastHurrah	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:54:57	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.34
09:51:42	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.28
08:35:06	SELL	No	0.84	200	$168.00
08:04:58	BUY	Yes	0.16	18	$2.88
08:04:30	BUY	Yes	0.15	2,830	$424.44
06:36:25	SELL	No	0.85	200	$170.00
06:35:03	SELL	No	0.85	220	$187.00
06:34:48	BUY	Yes	0.15	593	$88.95
06:06:42	BUY	Yes	0.15	84	$12.60
06:06:15	BUY	Yes	0.14	3,277	$458.78
03:05:00	BUY	Yes	0.13	636	$82.68
03:04:37	BUY	Yes	0.13	200	$26.00
02:50:51	SELL	No	0.87	200	$174.00
02:49:06	SELL	No	0.87	200	$174.00
02:48:36	SELL	No	0.87	200	$174.00
02:47:36	BUY	Yes	0.13	1,000	$130.00
01:07:27	SELL	Yes	0.12	200	$24.00
00:53:46	SELL	Yes	0.14	400	$56.00
00:48:22	BUY	Yes	0.1	600	$60.00