PolyBot

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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2029-01-01
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.18. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1724,41124,411
0.1841,51665,927
0.1917,44083,367
0.2030183,668
0.231083,678
0.411783,695
0.42983,703
0.772683,729
0.7850684,235
0.793,60287,837
0.802187,858
0.814,83692,694

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1629,93429,934
0.155,89735,831
0.144,29840,129
0.1331840,447
0.127140,518
0.105,00045,518
0.093,04448,562
0.084,21952,781
0.078,31661,097
0.069,13870,235
0.059,07579,310
0.0412,69492,004

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8429,93429,934
0.855,89735,831
0.864,29840,129
0.8731840,447
0.887140,518
0.905,00045,518
0.913,04448,562
0.924,21952,781
0.938,31661,097
0.949,13870,235
0.959,07579,310
0.9612,69492,004

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8324,41124,411
0.8241,51665,927
0.8117,44083,367
0.8030183,668
0.771083,678
0.591783,695
0.58983,703
0.232683,729
0.2250684,235
0.213,60287,837
0.202187,858
0.194,83692,694

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dromedaryyYes141,014.47
AiBirdYes2,745.18
immanuelcanYes1,243.76
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedYes1,000
1nvoker1Yes554.78
0xb6ce…895dYes471
rocky42003Yes300
AmberSprinterYes202.4
0x4e84…ef69Yes201
lissartterYes84.35
darthvanger1Yes58.82
xtxpleasecallmeYes48.78
PMplayerYes26.32
kluwqkitxnrsYes23.83
kartik0xYes11.11
sm-02Yes10.56
zxcursed121Yes10.51
Elias.ThornwellYes8.32
sahamiesYes5.27
nibblemaxxingYes1.14

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:18:15SELLNo0.832$1.98
11:13:48BUYNo0.83999978162$2.00
07:58:13BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
07:48:13BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
07:38:12BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
07:28:06BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
07:18:04BUYNo0.839999993324$20.00
06:34:42BUYNo0.83999999991,120$940.85
04:42:12SELLNo0.831$0.99
20:26:39BUYNo0.8410$8.40
20:26:03BUYNo0.8410$8.40
04:13:52BUYNo0.83999942881$1.00
23:41:37SELLYes0.1650$8.00
19:49:54BUYYes0.169999998359$10.00
12:38:25BUYNo0.8399999997241$202.15
10:54:04SELLYes0.165$0.80
10:23:33SELLYes0.165$0.80
09:51:12BUYYes0.1710$1.70
19:04:39BUYNo0.84200$168.00
19:03:36SELLNo0.83324$269.15
17:54:13SELLYes0.163,772$603.51
17:46:58BUYYes0.171,000$170.00
17:46:58SELLNo0.832,000$1660.00
17:19:29SELLYes0.1635$5.65
17:18:56SELLYes0.1663$10.11