kartik0x
0x67e9563d8df4ae79950d629ff23f056140bb7827
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $63.9k
- Markets traded
- 6,564
- Open portfolio
- $131.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,564
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.66at 0.851T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)
- +$21.47at 0.750T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)
- +$21.03at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 1?
- +$20.37at 0.669Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
- +$19.61at 0.970T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:45 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.02 |
| 08-03 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4399999531 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.44 |
| 08-03 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4199999048 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5399999856 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.83 |
| 08-03 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.72 |
| 08-03 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.24 |
| 08-03 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.62 |