PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kartik0x

0x67e9563d8df4ae79950d629ff23f056140bb7827

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$63.9k
Markets traded
6,564
Open portfolio
$131.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,564
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 14:47Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
08-03 14:47Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 3?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
08-03 14:45Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4?BUY0.54$1.00
08-03 14:45Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3?BUY0.52$1.00
08-03 14:45Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-03 14:42Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?SELL0.48$1.02
08-03 14:04Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.4399999531$1.50
08-03 14:04Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.51$1.44
08-03 14:03Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.4199999048$1.50
08-03 14:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.5399999856$1.50
08-03 14:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.25$0.83
08-03 13:57Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?SELL0.09$0.72
08-03 13:55Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.03$0.24
08-03 13:54Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.32$1.60
08-03 13:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.27$1.62