PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PMplayer

0x174b27fef5e1c06ed52c1ddff29720b23cb65a55

Realised P&L
$-25.5k
Volume
$1.02M
Markets traded
177
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded177
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1580.165$340.31+$15.31
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2520.275$274.99+$22.61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3790.495$249.33+$58.33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.3380.390$195.02+$25.91
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1700.155$155.00−$15.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.275$137.50−$2.50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5700.575$120.95+$0.95
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1400.165$82.50+$12.50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.0550.056$58.25+$0.95
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.6900.655$33.22−$1.78
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5990.505$29.52−$5.48
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No0.2500.235$23.50−$1.50
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.6300.548$21.77−$3.23
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.215$21.50+$0.50
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31? · Yes0.1830.125$19.76−$9.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:08Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.649999987$15.00
10-15 09:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5799999992$15.00
10-15 09:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.6899999957$35.00
10-15 08:28Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0871250018$13.70
10-15 08:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.16$16.00
10-15 08:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.28$14.00
10-15 08:26Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.1899999962$5.00
10-15 08:25Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$5.00
10-15 08:24US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.25$25.00
10-15 08:24Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.28$140.00
10-15 08:23Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.6300055899$25.00
10-15 08:23Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.598710033$35.00
10-15 08:21Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.5704918022$120.00
10-15 08:20Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.0550855888$57.30
10-08 21:58Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?SELL0.05$55.00