PMplayer
0x174b27fef5e1c06ed52c1ddff29720b23cb65a55
- Realised P&L
- $-25.5k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.436Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$1.5kat 0.783Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$1.1kat 0.789Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.852US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
- +$861.00at 0.776Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.649999987 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 09:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 09:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.6899999957 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 08:28 | Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0871250018 | $13.70 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 10-15 08:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 10-15 08:26 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 08:25 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 08:24 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 08:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 10-15 08:23 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.6300055899 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 08:23 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.598710033 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 08:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5704918022 | $120.00 |
| 10-15 08:20 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0550855888 | $57.30 |
| 10-08 21:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $55.00 |