spartafishing
0x4e84ce1599d3d0272932a729c2a3310b734bef69
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $5.35M
- Markets traded
- 656
- Open portfolio
- $12.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded656
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.011Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
- +$2.2kat 0.006Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
- +$2.0kat 0.010Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
- +$822.27at 0.002Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$638.13at 0.005Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 11:57 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.01 |
| 11-01 07:32 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.90 |
| 10-31 17:28 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $20.64 |
| 10-30 18:31 | Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.16 |
| 10-29 22:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $7.16 |
| 10-29 21:26 | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $20.52 |
| 10-29 19:22 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 10-29 19:00 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $20.16 |
| 10-29 17:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $16.73 |
| 10-29 15:54 | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $20.06 |
| 10-28 22:27 | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $20.52 |
| 10-28 07:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 10-28 03:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $19.02 |
| 10-27 23:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $20.46 |