PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

spartafishing

0x4e84ce1599d3d0272932a729c2a3310b734bef69

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$5.35M
Markets traded
656
Open portfolio
$12.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded656
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.6881.000$602.46+$188.15
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8470.865$489.59+$10.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.7741.000$488.00+$110.21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9160.945$451.12+$13.58
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · No0.6720.735$434.75+$36.99
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9130.915$428.01+$0.82
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30? · Yes0.7741.000$416.01+$93.99
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? · Yes0.6020.625$349.43+$13.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7521.000$302.88+$75.03
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · No0.9060.960$291.52+$16.33
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · No0.3870.395$285.64+$5.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · No0.4870.485$274.40−$1.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4650.470$233.97+$2.40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.8260.810$219.59−$4.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4100.335$208.92−$46.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$1.60
11-01 11:57Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 15?BUY0.87$20.01
11-01 07:32Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30?SELL0.27$5.90
10-31 17:28Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?BUY0.86$20.64
10-30 18:31Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?BUY0.72$20.16
10-29 22:33NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?BUY0.04$7.16
10-29 21:26Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.76$20.52
10-29 19:22Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$14.20
10-29 19:00NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$20.16
10-29 17:51NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?BUY0.92$16.73
10-29 15:54Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?BUY0.34$20.06
10-28 22:27Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.76$20.52
10-28 07:02Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.07$1.75
10-28 03:41Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.11$19.02
10-27 23:22NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?SELL0.93$20.46
Trader spartafishing · PolyBot Pro