PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sahamies

0x5dbc28d6f01c5039c3e86a5b4a06a8636f44e3c7

Realised P&L
$-4.04
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$23.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1730.406$2.35+$1.35
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.410$2.05+$1.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.255$1.70+$0.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.165$1.65+$0.65
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1400.165$1.18+$0.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.100$1.11−$0.89
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2600.180$0.90−$0.40
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1900.165$0.87−$0.13
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1040.086$0.82−$0.18
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2040.169$0.78−$0.16
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75−$0.25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0700.051$0.72−$0.28
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes0.1500.135$0.68−$0.07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2000.135$0.68−$0.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.075$0.63−$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 17:44Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?BUY0.8769999993$10.00
10-28 17:44Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?BUY0.87$7.45
10-28 12:07Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.9$3.96
10-21 22:49Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? (copy)BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-15 19:20Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game?BUY0.9409999997$10.00
10-15 17:50Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.9689999993$10.00
10-09 13:42US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.14$1.00
10-07 02:04Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-07 01:35Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$1.00
10-06 21:28US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.26$1.30
10-06 19:39Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.058$1.00
10-06 16:45Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.204$0.94
10-06 15:01Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?BUY0.11$1.00
10-06 14:39Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.19$1.00
10-06 03:43Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.19$1.00