sahamies
0x5dbc28d6f01c5039c3e86a5b4a06a8636f44e3c7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.04
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $23.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.06at 0.096Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
- +$9.15at 0.104Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$6.94at 0.133Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
- +$6.64at 0.138Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?
- +$5.90at 0.145Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:44 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.8769999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:44 | Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.45 |
| 10-28 12:07 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.96 |
| 10-21 22:49 | Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? (copy) | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 19:20 | Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Seahawks vs Broncos game? | BUY | 0.9409999997 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 17:50 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 13:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:28 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-06 19:39 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.204 | $0.94 |
| 10-06 15:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 14:39 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:43 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.00 |