nibblemaxxing
0xc50c05d454f0681ea57b254df8ad97bc210f3017
- Realised P&L
- $-10.7k
- Volume
- $556.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,560
- Open portfolio
- $155.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,560
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.50at 0.130Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
- +$271.24at 0.120Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
- +$268.25at 0.310LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs
- +$267.42at 0.205France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$238.34at 0.250Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:24 | Will Gwangju FC be relegated from the 2026 K-League? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $6.66 |
| 09-18 20:02 | Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-18 18:52 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-18 18:28 | Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999985 | $8.55 |
| 09-18 18:05 | Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.729999999 | $14.06 |
| 09-18 18:03 | Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.92 |
| 09-18 16:51 | Will Tyra Hurricane Black qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | BUY | 0.35 | $0.05 |
| 09-18 16:51 | Will Tyra Hurricane Black qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | BUY | 0.3499999968 | $5.55 |
| 09-18 12:50 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999958 | $29.28 |
| 09-18 12:13 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999967 | $21.62 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.3054354835 | $4.48 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Will Unai Simón (Athletic Club) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.9693998945 | $14.70 |
| 09-18 11:01 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | BUY | 0.2969999955 | $10.24 |
| 09-18 11:01 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999939 | $11.16 |