PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dromedaryy

0x6575759174ad221bba9947bc3f18750ec769b198

Realised P&L
$-16.6k
Volume
$1.38M
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$94.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.7900.885$41.6k+$4.5k
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.2400.998$16.0k+$12.1k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1200.125$12.5k+$500.00
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.2320.998$7.8k+$6.0k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1670.046$5.8k$15.3k
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5970.540$5.4k$573.36
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.2400.999$4.2k+$3.2k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1700.185$462.08+$37.47
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.8700.835$327.50$13.73
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.2600.125$281.94$304.49
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2600.105$181.41$267.79
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.2030.170$157.08$30.08
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%? · Under0.4000.001$1.43$1.1k
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? · No0.1900.000$0.00$76.90
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev0.3500.000$0.00$17.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:37Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?BUY0.001$1.13
09-15 20:03Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.13$20.93
09-15 18:10Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.2178636679$166.23
09-15 17:51Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.19$4.8k
09-14 22:15Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.2$8.2k
09-13 16:57Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.24$513.44
09-13 15:54Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.24$284.74
09-13 15:01Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.24$999.65
09-13 15:01Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.24$3.0k
09-13 15:00Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.23$1.3k
09-11 23:20Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.87$341.23
09-11 23:19Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5972605481$7.8k
09-11 13:42Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?BUY0.4$1.1k
09-10 19:51LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.995$9.95
09-10 15:44LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.0515537601$19.91