PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900

0x122cb94c437ea5e6f088c6c0c143c592ab8efbed

Realised P&L
$154.3k
Volume
$16.21M
Markets traded
1,523
Open portfolio
$30.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,523
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.9830.930$3.6k$204.81
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9170.937$2.0k+$43.73
Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? · No0.9401.000$2.0k+$119.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7330.825$1.9k+$209.95
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8650.860$1.8k$10.35
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$1.7k+$9.34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5040.810$1.4k+$515.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5580.620$1.3k+$135.25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4120.460$1.1k+$120.65
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.3490.445$1.1k+$239.49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? · No0.6580.845$1.0k+$231.45
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.3960.425$1.0k+$72.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · No0.9530.983$872.56+$26.34
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3770.310$773.16$168.17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8500.920$677.21+$51.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.73$7.30
08-02 22:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.73$65.70
08-02 22:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.73$7.30
08-02 22:55US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.72$4.06
08-02 22:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.62$6.20
08-02 22:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.191$7.78
08-02 22:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.72$3.60
08-02 22:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.45$27.00
08-02 22:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.73$29.93
08-02 22:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.74$44.01
08-02 22:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$2.60
08-02 22:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.73$68.04
08-02 22:48US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.72$7.20
08-02 22:47US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.72$25.20
08-02 22:46US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.27$25.28