0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900
0x122cb94c437ea5e6f088c6c0c143c592ab8efbed
- Realised P&L
- $154.3k
- Volume
- $16.21M
- Markets traded
- 1,523
- Open portfolio
- $30.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,523
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.4kat 0.964Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$9.4kat 0.618Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
- +$9.0kat 0.115Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$8.8kat 0.700Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$6.8kat 0.913Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 08-02 22:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $65.70 |
| 08-02 22:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 08-02 22:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.06 |
| 08-02 22:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 08-02 22:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.191 | $7.78 |
| 08-02 22:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-02 22:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 08-02 22:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $29.93 |
| 08-02 22:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $44.01 |
| 08-02 22:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 22:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $68.04 |
| 08-02 22:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 22:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $25.20 |
| 08-02 22:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $25.28 |