PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

darthvanger1

0xe53fdbd082018be96816039e330770fd7b028534

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$415.25
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$72.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0800.085$17.66+$1.04
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$15.56−$5.19
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes0.2200.225$10.23+$0.23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes0.2300.235$10.22+$0.22
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1700.165$9.71−$0.29
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.2000.175$8.75−$1.25

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 19:53Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.2199999974$10.00
10-30 19:53Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.2$10.00
10-30 19:50Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.2299999993$10.00
10-30 19:49Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-17 14:50Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.08$16.62
10-17 14:42Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$20.75