darthvanger1
0xe53fdbd082018be96816039e330770fd7b028534
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $415.25
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $72.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $17.66 | +$1.04 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $15.56 | −$5.19 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.225 | $10.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.235 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $9.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.175 | $8.75 | −$1.25 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:53 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 19:53 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 19:50 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 19:49 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 14:50 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.62 |
| 10-17 14:42 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.75 |