mad4x
0xb6ce892dd3e01d4e30264f15fd9e61a4f62f895d
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $827.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,268
- Open portfolio
- $29.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,268
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.448MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$792.43at 0.943US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$654.31at 0.779US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$593.73at 0.648Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$578.33at 0.324Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:53 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.32 | $313.92 |
| 11-02 15:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.68 |
| 11-02 13:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.68 |
| 11-02 13:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 11-02 13:32 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 11-02 13:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.16 |
| 11-02 12:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 11-02 11:37 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.88 |
| 11-02 11:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 11-02 10:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.75 |
| 11-02 10:07 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by November 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.23 |
| 11-02 08:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.44 |
| 11-02 07:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 11-02 07:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 11-02 05:50 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.80 |