PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb6ce892dd3e01d4e30264f15fd9e61a4f62f895d

Realised P&L
$5.1k
Volume
$436.4k
Markets traded
638
Open portfolio
$20.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded638
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7990.792$7.9k$70.27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8400.855$3.1k+$54.23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2050.207$2.1k+$28.90
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9440.964$861.41+$17.88
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9650.961$861.06$3.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9760.976$769.67$0.39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.785$657.04+$20.68
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6390.786$400.33+$74.99
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9100.935$309.49+$8.27
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4040.380$251.99$16.27
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9560.972$199.26+$3.37
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9780.978$166.71$0.09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8840.945$164.43+$10.61
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · No0.9690.985$139.87+$2.27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9090.938$135.00+$4.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$4.74
08-04 08:34Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$7.11
08-04 07:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$5.53
08-04 07:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.976$770.06
08-04 05:49Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$4.74
08-04 05:45Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$3.36
08-04 05:42Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$2.24
08-04 04:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$5.53
08-04 03:29Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$3.52
08-04 02:40Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$1.92
08-04 02:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.53$7.95
08-04 02:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?SELL0.761$6.09
08-04 01:58Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.16$1.28
08-04 01:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.14$28.00
08-04 01:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.79$79.00