1nvoker1
0x748ac19f73c96312e98227f49f65699542943c56
- Realised P&L
- $17.4k
- Volume
- $7.37M
- Markets traded
- 914
- Open portfolio
- $67.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded914
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.778Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$3.2kat 0.005Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.8kat 0.070US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.088US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$2.4kat 0.447Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:17 | US imports Russian diesel by January 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $89.60 |
| 11-01 20:13 | US imports Russian diesel by January 31? | BUY | 0.6362397576 | $715.91 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9713875217 | $184.34 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9759852457 | $2.6k |
| 11-01 17:53 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0216919943 | $76.77 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0705224214 | $64.81 |
| 11-01 17:23 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.06 | $180.00 |
| 11-01 16:37 | US imports Russian diesel by January 31? | BUY | 0.3594393873 | $296.15 |
| 11-01 16:32 | US imports Russian diesel by March 31? | BUY | 0.3154729841 | $383.25 |
| 11-01 15:38 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8146022667 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 14:52 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | BUY | 0.0163431536 | $2.46 |
| 11-01 14:43 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.37 |
| 11-01 14:42 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | SELL | 0.0041483419 | $0.89 |
| 11-01 14:32 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.77 |
| 11-01 13:12 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | BUY | 0.06 | $13.54 |