1nvoker1
0x748ac19f73c96312e98227f49f65699542943c56
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $4.23M
- Markets traded
- 695
- Open portfolio
- $33.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded695
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.070US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.089US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$2.4kat 0.447Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.849Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$1.2kat 0.837Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:49 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 08-02 05:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $555.80 |
| 07-31 15:53 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.0120690237 | $5.51 |
| 07-30 08:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6893087558 | $299.16 |
| 07-30 08:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6738183695 | $65.29 |
| 07-30 08:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6651600669 | $119.26 |
| 07-30 04:17 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.61 |
| 07-30 04:16 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.93 |
| 07-30 04:15 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.56 |
| 07-29 19:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $59.22 |
| 07-29 17:48 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $237.51 |
| 07-29 12:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $40.13 |
| 07-29 12:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $819.99 |
| 07-27 15:31 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $15.42 |
| 07-27 06:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |