PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AmberSprinter

0xb4066f06bc4993392550dac14ba1562af7f7aef4

Realised P&L
$67.77
Volume
$94.1k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$219.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8700.865$143.73−$0.83
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1670.165$33.40−$0.41
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0680.065$19.32−$0.89
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0320.030$14.15−$0.53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.013$7.32−$4.86
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0550.051$1.97−$0.13
Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors0.7500.000$0.00−$100.00
Timberwolves vs. Hawks · Timberwolves0.6400.000$0.00−$120.00
Jazz vs. Clippers · Jazz0.1800.000$0.00−$160.00
Spurs vs. Celtics · Celtics0.5000.000$0.00−$140.00
Pelicans vs. Magic · Pelicans0.3100.000$0.00−$160.00
76ers vs. Raptors · 76ers0.6200.000$0.00−$140.00
Cavaliers vs. Rockets · Cavaliers0.3900.000$0.00−$140.00
76ers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.4700.000$0.00−$160.00
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers · Timberwolves0.4000.000$0.00−$180.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 05:36Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.962$8.97
10-20 04:21Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$80.54
10-17 12:00Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.869$33.61
10-10 07:13Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.977$106.27
09-30 11:55Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.94$13.14
01-15 07:21Heat vs. BullsSELL0.67$325.43
01-11 10:1876ers vs. RaptorsBUY0.62$140.00
01-11 10:17Knicks vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.64$160.00
01-11 10:16Nets vs. GrizzliesBUY0.7099999998$180.00
01-11 10:15Pelicans vs. MagicBUY0.3099999988$160.00
01-10 12:37Spurs vs. CelticsBUY0.5$140.00
01-10 12:36Heat vs. PacersBUY0.2799999993$180.00
01-10 12:35Timberwolves vs. CavaliersBUY0.4$180.00
01-08 14:19Mavericks vs. JazzBUY0.6899999996$340.00
01-08 14:18Heat vs. BullsBUY0.6999999998$340.00