AmberSprinter
0xb4066f06bc4993392550dac14ba1562af7f7aef4
- Realised P&L
- $67.77
- Volume
- $94.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $219.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $143.73 | −$0.83 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.165 | $33.40 | −$0.41 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.065 | $19.32 | −$0.89 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.030 | $14.15 | −$0.53 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.013 | $7.32 | −$4.86 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.051 | $1.97 | −$0.13 |
| Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Hawks · Timberwolves | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Jazz vs. Clippers · Jazz | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Spurs vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Pelicans vs. Magic · Pelicans | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| 76ers vs. Raptors · 76ers | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Rockets · Cavaliers | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers · Timberwolves | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.120US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.021Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$1.4kat 0.026Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$1.4kat 0.131Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.2kat 0.167Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 05:36 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.962 | $8.97 |
| 10-20 04:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $80.54 |
| 10-17 12:00 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.869 | $33.61 |
| 10-10 07:13 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.977 | $106.27 |
| 09-30 11:55 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.94 | $13.14 |
| 01-15 07:21 | Heat vs. Bulls | SELL | 0.67 | $325.43 |
| 01-11 10:18 | 76ers vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.62 | $140.00 |
| 01-11 10:17 | Knicks vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.64 | $160.00 |
| 01-11 10:16 | Nets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $180.00 |
| 01-11 10:15 | Pelicans vs. Magic | BUY | 0.3099999988 | $160.00 |
| 01-10 12:37 | Spurs vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.5 | $140.00 |
| 01-10 12:36 | Heat vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $180.00 |
| 01-10 12:35 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4 | $180.00 |
| 01-08 14:19 | Mavericks vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.6899999996 | $340.00 |
| 01-08 14:18 | Heat vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.6999999998 | $340.00 |