PolyBot

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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.07 to 0.14. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0819,51519,515
0.0912,02731,542
0.10267,219298,761
0.1110,499309,260
0.1210,597319,857
0.1410,193330,050
0.1810330,060
0.1939330,099
0.20400330,499
0.541,956332,455
0.78454332,909
0.793,500336,409

Spread0.01Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07183,407183,407
0.0618,126201,533
0.0511,987213,520
0.043,023216,543
0.0318,770235,313
0.025,188240,500
0.0131,839272,340

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93183,407183,407
0.9418,126201,533
0.9511,987213,520
0.963,023216,543
0.9718,770235,313
0.985,188240,500
0.9931,839272,340

Spread0.01Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9219,51519,515
0.9112,02731,542
0.90267,219298,761
0.8910,499309,260
0.8810,597319,857
0.8610,193330,050
0.8210330,060
0.8139330,099
0.80400330,499
0.461,956332,455
0.22454332,909
0.213,500336,409

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dromedaryyYes698,440.86
Logan.Yes10,000
troimYes6,000
diadjaidYes4,000
WorkingIsBadYes960.74
BabyGrootYes510
xtxpleasecallmeYes489.04
pppnnYes400
WalterSobchackYes391.99
WarmStoneRunnerYes321.27
tinappanitYes300
NightLoomDrifterYes269.14
darthvanger1Yes207.5
Numitus1994Yes201
0x33c1eA839E61ec9920dCed96973cf5e24664e8B3-1770205722882Yes200
we-are-the-world2Yes200
UbuntuTradingYes200
RATHMA4Yes200
0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122affYes200
0x4e84…ef69Yes182

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:30:37SELLNo0.928$7.30
05:26:37SELLNo0.92309$284.68
20:24:46BUYNo0.93100$93.00
17:14:57BUYNo0.929999993343$40.00
17:11:25BUYNo0.9299999933129$120.00
16:04:18SELLNo0.9221$19.32
09:30:15SELLNo0.927$6.06
13:45:31SELLNo0.921$1.24
11:01:55SELLNo0.921$0.92
09:30:12SELLNo0.926$5.35
08:57:48BUYYes0.08200$16.00
08:16:18SELLNo0.925,582$5135.61
23:41:22SELLYes0.07100$7.00
19:37:03SELLYes0.0777$5.36
19:36:15BUYYes0.0877$6.12
17:59:52BUYYes0.08200$16.00
17:06:18SELLNo0.92200$184.00
17:06:15SELLNo0.921,900$1748.00
15:00:18SELLNo0.91200$182.00
15:00:13BUYYes0.08961$76.86
13:35:48BUYNo0.929999997777$71.52
12:56:51SELLYes0.07200$14.00
12:56:48SELLYes0.082,737$218.93
19:23:22SELLNo0.92774$712.00
17:54:47SELLNo0.921$1.00