PolyBot

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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.41 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.07 to 0.48. 16 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.079,4289,428
0.0869,29678,724
0.0941,647120,371
0.1034,764155,135
0.345155,140
0.4217155,158
0.631,621156,779
0.735,185161,964
0.9466162,029
0.95100162,129
0.9625162,154
0.9850162,204

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0637,33637,336
0.0551,43388,769
0.0444,864133,633
0.03588,675722,308
0.021,016723,323
0.012,655725,978

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9437,33637,336
0.9551,43388,769
0.9644,864133,633
0.97588,675722,308
0.981,016723,323
0.992,655725,978

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.939,4289,428
0.9269,29678,724
0.9141,647120,371
0.9034,764155,135
0.665155,140
0.5817155,158
0.371,621156,779
0.275,185161,964
0.0666162,029
0.05100162,129
0.0425162,154
0.0250162,204

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
3dddddYes1,400
balabalababalabalaYes1,166
AnjunYes910
Dr.PNLYes600
GuyFromTinderYes300
lissartterYes200
fwycfpgYes200
AJSVYes24
0xdc3E831cadNo2,438.31
StarMasterNo2,000
hping02No312
NYC-NO.1-Jungle-FanYangNo30
big-bird1No18.63
clipword1980No1.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:28:24BUYNo0.94312$293.28
10:28:13BUYNo0.939999978519$17.51
10:28:10BUYNo0.942,000$1880.00
09:42:28BUYNo0.9399998121$1.00
08:04:27SELLYes0.06200$12.00
07:01:18BUYNo0.9430$28.20
06:34:43SELLNo0.93200$186.00
06:34:09BUYYes0.07600$42.00
02:46:58BUYYes0.07800$56.00
02:11:30SELLYes0.06200$12.00
02:10:18SELLYes0.0666$3.96
02:10:15SELLYes0.0666$3.96
02:08:43SELLYes0.07934$65.38
02:07:54SELLYes0.07200$14.00
02:07:51BUYNo0.935,000$4650.00
01:44:54BUYNo0.93400$372.00