WalterSobchack
0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653
- Realised P&L
- $-11.1k
- Volume
- $3.14M
- Markets traded
- 921
- Open portfolio
- $16.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded921
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.563Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.0kat 0.579Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.7kat 0.564Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.7kat 0.436Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$1.6kat 0.828Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:12 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $79.06 |
| 10-29 19:02 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $33.60 |
| 10-29 08:39 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.64 |
| 10-27 18:11 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.25 |
| 10-27 10:38 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $38.00 |
| 10-26 03:31 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.798 | $6.38 |
| 10-25 22:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 10-25 09:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.462 | $4.62 |
| 10-25 09:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 10-25 08:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $11.75 |
| 10-24 22:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $25.50 |
| 10-23 14:01 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-22 22:55 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.162 | $12.15 |
| 10-22 04:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-22 02:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.21 | $44.10 |