WalterSobchack
0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653
- Realised P&L
- $-9.9k
- Volume
- $2.50M
- Markets traded
- 593
- Open portfolio
- $16.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded593
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.579Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.902US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.564Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.7kat 0.739Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.7kat 0.436Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 08-04 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.31 | $8.06 |
| 08-04 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.54 | $3.78 |
| 08-04 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 08-04 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.77 |
| 08-04 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 08-03 23:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.23 | $7.59 |
| 08-03 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $12.24 |
| 08-02 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.74 |
| 08-01 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.33 | $7.26 |