PolyBot

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Traders

WalterSobchack

0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653

Realised P&L
$-11.1k
Volume
$3.14M
Markets traded
921
Open portfolio
$16.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded921
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 15:12Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.67$79.06
10-29 19:02Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.32$33.60
10-29 08:39Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.22$2.64
10-27 18:11Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.23$1.25
10-27 10:38Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.76$38.00
10-26 03:31Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.798$6.38
10-25 22:422026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.65$13.00
10-25 09:54Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.462$4.62
10-25 09:49Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.54$8.10
10-25 08:15Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2$11.75
10-24 22:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.17$25.50
10-23 14:01Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.16$1.60
10-22 22:55Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.162$12.15
10-22 04:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.21$2.10
10-22 02:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.21$44.10