Logan.
0x510904c9a58f5c5ad799a1b44947077564175e9c
- Realised P&L
- $348.0k
- Volume
- $25.42M
- Markets traded
- 2,235
- Open portfolio
- $30.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,235
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.6kat 0.859US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$57.1kat 0.360US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$51.5kat 0.508MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$38.1kat 0.291Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$34.1kat 0.280Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:22 | Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 09-17 05:01 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.1763333333 | $9.98 |
| 09-16 16:37 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.6379308462 | $829.31 |
| 09-16 15:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4947669448 | $671.28 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4758309 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 13:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.07 |
| 09-16 13:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $7.28 |
| 09-16 08:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $560.00 |
| 08-25 21:19 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.0k |
| 08-13 00:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $740.00 |
| 08-13 00:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $740.00 |
| 08-12 23:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $40.68 |
| 08-12 22:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $831.68 |
| 08-12 22:41 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | BUY | 0.001 | $19.27 |
| 08-12 22:07 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.003 | $36.67 |