we-are-the-world2
0x8569e4b11e87760f15bfb551939eb7d236f12267
- Realised P&L
- $-810.77
- Volume
- $105.9k
- Markets traded
- 664
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded664
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$285.09at 0.243US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$117.37at 0.744Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
- +$91.22at 0.007Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$86.38at 0.753US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$68.19at 0.036Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 10:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $14.12 |
| 10-14 10:03 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.47 |
| 10-11 03:42 | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0386654176 | $23.11 |
| 10-09 11:08 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-09 10:14 | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 10-08 09:50 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $8.60 |
| 10-07 18:53 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 11:28 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 09-29 08:24 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $15.25 |
| 09-26 16:40 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.63 |
| 09-21 00:18 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9848583249 | $465.40 |
| 09-20 13:18 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4487092199 | $3.16 |
| 09-19 07:53 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.22 |
| 09-16 09:45 | Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-12 20:22 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? | BUY | 0.5719261822 | $24.79 |