RATHMA4
0xf9ac4c4ef54ee6010a28299ec1d616b63bf7806e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.2k
- Volume
- $2.24M
- Markets traded
- 4,336
- Open portfolio
- $15.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,336
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.290Will Solana reach $190 in May?
- +$966.67at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$966.67at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
- +$708.35at 0.024Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$675.31at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:10 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-16 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 09-16 07:39 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31? | SELL | 0.9922393239 | $99.21 |
| 09-16 04:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899999998 | $340.00 |
| 09-15 16:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 16:18 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 09-15 15:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.9819001933 | $294.55 |
| 09-14 01:59 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.97215 | $194.43 |
| 09-14 01:45 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $597.00 |
| 09-13 17:01 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 16:54 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 09-12 04:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 09-11 19:55 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-11 12:01 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992381225 | $396.95 |