0x33c1eA839E61ec9920dCed96973cf5e24664e8B3-1770205722882
0x33c1ea839e61ec9920dced96973cf5e24664e8b3
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $785.6k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $321.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.135 | $110.46 | −$26.99 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.375 | $52.50 | −$7.70 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.035 | $48.09 | −$20.61 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $39.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.125 | $33.82 | −$19.13 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.115 | $18.51 | −$1.93 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.055 | $18.25 | −$10.61 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.215 | $0.22 | −$0.06 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$29.75 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$57.15 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$133.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.100US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$959.52at 0.071US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$451.37at 0.616US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$388.19at 0.050Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:25 | US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.02 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.05 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 17:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.091 | $19.66 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 13:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.191 | $28.65 |
| 09-16 13:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.25 |
| 09-16 08:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $180.00 |
| 09-11 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 09-10 22:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $175.00 |
| 09-10 21:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $180.00 |
| 09-05 22:22 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $100.24 |
| 09-01 01:42 | US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.44 |
| 08-24 00:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.14 | $53.11 |