PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x33c1eA839E61ec9920dCed96973cf5e24664e8B3-1770205722882

0x33c1ea839e61ec9920dced96973cf5e24664e8b3

Realised P&L
$6.2k
Volume
$709.4k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$738.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.2000.225$196.65+$21.85
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.1850.200$174.80+$13.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.1100.055$157.13$157.13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.205$89.58+$2.18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.1000.090$81.00$9.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0870.095$31.51+$2.66
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$7.99+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:47Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.23$0.46
08-02 03:17Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.07$6.08
08-02 03:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.11$4.40
08-01 21:44US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$22.48
08-01 19:07Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.34$0.28
07-28 21:44Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.15$0.10
07-28 21:38Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.15$7.20
07-28 19:11Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.27$0.44
07-24 14:31Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?SELL0.032$22.88
07-22 14:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.319$0.14
07-21 02:07Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.19$10.64
07-21 01:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.331$0.06
07-21 01:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.3310244399$162.53
07-21 00:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.3664467426$26.04
07-20 20:14Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.26$182.00