0x33c1eA839E61ec9920dCed96973cf5e24664e8B3-1770205722882
0x33c1ea839e61ec9920dced96973cf5e24664e8b3
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $709.4k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $738.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.225 | $196.65 | +$21.85 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.200 | $174.80 | +$13.11 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.055 | $157.13 | −$157.13 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $89.58 | +$2.18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.090 | $81.00 | −$9.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.095 | $31.51 | +$2.66 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $7.99 | +$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.100US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$959.52at 0.071US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$451.37at 0.616US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$388.19at 0.050Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:47 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 03:17 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $6.08 |
| 08-02 03:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.40 |
| 08-01 21:44 | US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $22.48 |
| 08-01 19:07 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.28 |
| 07-28 21:44 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.10 |
| 07-28 21:38 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.20 |
| 07-28 19:11 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.44 |
| 07-24 14:31 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.032 | $22.88 |
| 07-22 14:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.319 | $0.14 |
| 07-21 02:07 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $10.64 |
| 07-21 01:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.331 | $0.06 |
| 07-21 01:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.3310244399 | $162.53 |
| 07-21 00:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.3664467426 | $26.04 |
| 07-20 20:14 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $182.00 |