UbuntuTrading
0xc3cd1d612bbf9fbf80da5a9bff0b0470cb46816c
- Realised P&L
- $206.4k
- Volume
- $48.60M
- Markets traded
- 6,414
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,414
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.5kat 0.591Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$21.6kat 0.015Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$20.5kat 0.006Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$19.1kat 0.016Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$17.8kat 0.009Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:09 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.022 | $3.76 |
| 09-17 02:08 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 09-17 02:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.562 | $5.96 |
| 09-17 02:01 | Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-17 01:37 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.028 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 01:36 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.053 | $16.17 |
| 09-16 22:58 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 09-16 22:57 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.022 | $6.60 |
| 09-16 22:57 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 09-16 15:19 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.882 | $128.13 |
| 09-16 14:09 | Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 09-16 09:26 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.971 | $228.90 |
| 09-16 09:17 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.88021075 | $176.04 |