PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

UbuntuTrading

0xc3cd1d612bbf9fbf80da5a9bff0b0470cb46816c

Realised P&L
$206.4k
Volume
$48.60M
Markets traded
6,414
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,414
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8050.805$402.50$0.25
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6840.675$202.50$2.60
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9180.912$182.50$1.05
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.215$172.01+$149.78
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes0.1200.840$168.00+$144.00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.3300.325$162.50$2.50
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.5180.510$153.00$2.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0750.125$125.00+$50.09
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? · Yes0.8700.850$122.86$2.89
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? · No0.6000.575$115.00$5.00
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$102.50+$2.50
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.2000.195$97.50$2.50
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0430.315$94.50+$81.69
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1100.115$92.00+$4.00
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.8500.855$85.50+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:09Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$0.30
09-17 02:09Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.002$0.60
09-17 02:09Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.022$3.76
09-17 02:08Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.11$33.00
09-17 02:08Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.562$5.96
09-17 02:01Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?SELL0.47$9.40
09-17 01:37Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.028$2.80
09-17 01:36Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.053$16.17
09-16 22:58Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$0.30
09-16 22:57Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.022$6.60
09-16 22:57Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.11$33.00
09-16 15:19Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.882$128.13
09-16 14:09Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?SELL0.91$91.00
09-16 09:26Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.971$228.90
09-16 09:17Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.88021075$176.04