tinappanit
0x51df72f71872a16a9b026693c90a6bab1e970fca
- Realised P&L
- $-67.61
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $504.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.50at 0.460Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$86.83at 0.467Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
- +$26.45at 0.925Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
- +$23.75at 0.286Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
- +$20.35at 0.795Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:09 | Canucks vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.359688251 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 14:09 | Canucks vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-15 10:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7550281667 | $20.00 |
| 10-15 10:16 | Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 10:18 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 10:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9149999999 | $40.00 |
| 10-13 10:15 | Will the Vancouver Canucks finish the 2026-27 regular season with the fewest points? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 10:13 | Canucks vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:12 | Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 09:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 05:01 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 04:56 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.9299999861 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 04:53 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 10:38 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8374875367 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 10:36 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.9758677389 | $103.15 |