PolyBot

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Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.08. Range 0.08 to 0.30. 147 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.113030
0.12120150
0.13370520
0.14245765
0.15225990
0.172251,215
0.18231,239
0.20401,279
0.211,0002,279
0.24502,329
0.33152,344
0.492702,614

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.109191
0.07299390
0.0625415
0.0234449
0.015701,019

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.909191
0.93299390
0.9425415
0.9834449
0.995701,019

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.893030
0.88120150
0.87370520
0.86245765
0.85225990
0.832251,215
0.82231,239
0.80401,279
0.791,0002,279
0.76502,329
0.67152,344
0.512702,614

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DeverNoomYes1,200.21
molodoyyYes793.8
asdasdasdasdasdasdasdYes607.58
wqujvjYes544.87
shiifooYes420
viniiYes347.53
0xDC719Fde6ed998a38F28DEA0af7B653047a526D8-1723323482067Yes329.88
Hoodedslinky8Yes304.37
rewardbotsYes233.79
nklrYes171.74
misha-d1Yes150
xtxpleasecallmeYes114.46
Diplopia2Yes100
0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545Yes80
willepille333333Yes57.09
PPMTYes40.07
johnthekYes32.57
0x61B0C9A7CB8Ee62f51508C97F3016dD5f964ea7F-1749372211998Yes29.41
Dr.PNLYes23.49
HerrieDavisYes20.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:46:15BUYNo0.8950$44.44
15:14:21BUYNo0.8750$43.50
15:18:16BUYYes0.1527$4.05
23:04:21SELLNo0.7620$15.20
22:21:07BUYNo0.7920$15.80
22:20:52BUYNo0.7955$43.45
22:20:51BUYNo0.795$3.95
20:01:27SELLYes0.1816$2.88
17:54:50SELLNo0.6050577349375$226.89
07:39:01SELLNo0.823$2.70
07:38:14BUYYes0.1317$2.17
07:38:14SELLNo0.8739451876138$120.22
08:48:14BUYYes0.11999999983$10.00
00:02:18SELLYes0.120$2.00
22:05:42SELLNo0.8880$70.40
21:50:27SELLNo0.8840$35.20
21:18:39SELLNo0.88240$211.20
15:05:18BUYYes0.113110442588$10.00
12:08:18BUYNo0.89999992241$1.16
21:33:26SELLNo0.8840$35.20
21:32:21SELLNo0.8853$46.56
21:32:20BUYNo0.912$2.00
21:32:20SELLNo0.8981$72.17
21:32:08BUYYes0.09992166841,403$140.19
21:32:06BUYYes0.1131$3.41