asdasdasdasdasdasdasd
0x5446fe5868e4e6da0ab784b005fe423df62218f6
- Realised P&L
- $22.3k
- Volume
- $739.2k
- Markets traded
- 876
- Open portfolio
- $24.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded876
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.206Who will win late deciders?
- +$1.9kat 0.004Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.001Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$1.2kat 0.450Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$1.1kat 0.375Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:15 | Will Detroit Lions advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.537048 | $26.85 |
| 09-17 03:39 | Will Breece Hall have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.29 | $42.05 |
| 09-17 01:42 | Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.44 | $28.60 |
| 09-17 01:15 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.39 | $38.61 |
| 09-17 00:34 | Will De'Von Achane have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 22:13 | Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.56 | $82.88 |
| 09-16 21:44 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $33.82 |
| 09-16 21:27 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31? | SELL | 0.2765298246 | $31.52 |
| 09-16 19:36 | Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | BUY | 0.66 | $58.08 |
| 09-16 19:02 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.54 | $14.58 |
| 09-16 18:26 | Will Chase Brown have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.6156666667 | $42.48 |
| 09-16 18:24 | Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7484438153 | $51.75 |
| 09-16 18:07 | Will Detroit Lions advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.21 | $23.94 |
| 09-16 15:37 | Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-16 15:30 | Will Tony Pollard have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.59 | $88.50 |