PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asdasdasdasdasdasdasd

0x5446fe5868e4e6da0ab784b005fe423df62218f6

Realised P&L
$22.3k
Volume
$739.2k
Markets traded
876
Open portfolio
$24.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded876
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? · No0.8140.967$932.17+$146.79
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? · No0.7400.865$505.74+$73.08
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · No0.7750.915$482.39+$73.75
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? · No0.9190.967$461.31+$22.41
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? · Yes0.8000.865$434.23+$32.63
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat? · Yes0.8700.935$420.75+$29.25
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.7830.870$412.38+$41.24
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.1310.755$346.55+$286.46
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31? · No0.8510.968$319.27+$38.52
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · No0.4110.415$290.92+$2.98
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? · No0.7980.960$289.92+$48.79
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8750.800$287.31$26.84
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.1630.360$284.11+$155.20
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.7980.955$283.63+$46.62
Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.8440.994$279.90+$42.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:15Will Detroit Lions advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?SELL0.537048$26.85
09-17 03:39Will Breece Hall have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.29$42.05
09-17 01:42Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.44$28.60
09-17 01:15Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.39$38.61
09-17 00:34Will De'Von Achane have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.45$27.00
09-16 22:13Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.56$82.88
09-16 21:44Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$33.82
09-16 21:27Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?SELL0.2765298246$31.52
09-16 19:36Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?BUY0.66$58.08
09-16 19:02Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.54$14.58
09-16 18:26Will Chase Brown have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.6156666667$42.48
09-16 18:24Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?BUY0.7484438153$51.75
09-16 18:07Will Detroit Lions advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?BUY0.21$23.94
09-16 15:37Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.998$49.90
09-16 15:30Will Tony Pollard have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.59$88.50