PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61B0C9A7CB8Ee62f51508C97F3016dD5f964ea7F-1749372211998

0x61b0c9a7cb8ee62f51508c97f3016dd5f964ea7f

Realised P&L
$-0.34
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$4.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.105$3.09−$6.91
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5660.139$1.23−$3.77
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$5.00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$8.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 18:07Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999927$8.96
09-14 03:57Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.15$8.33
09-11 16:10Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5661297907$5.00
09-11 16:10Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-11 16:07Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
09-11 15:33Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
09-05 04:50Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$16.34
09-05 03:16Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1835872958$20.00
09-03 12:48Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?SELL0.88$5.30
09-03 12:48Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.972$32.94
09-03 02:14Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.8299998589$5.00
09-01 17:30Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.91$5.55
08-29 21:06Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5899999894$20.00
08-07 19:17Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?SELL0.0303303874$3.67
08-06 16:03Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3649999573$5.00