DeverNoom
0x529d3986c62df484bf34400f655432c5703d6381
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $565.1k
- Markets traded
- 855
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded855
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$571.45at 0.127Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$392.00at 0.020US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$336.42at 0.800Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
- +$297.26at 0.777Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
- +$285.60at 0.280Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:25 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.915 | $457.50 |
| 09-13 17:22 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.914 | $847.54 |
| 09-09 18:16 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 17:54 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.9734638921 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 17:52 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.0868025 | $17.36 |
| 09-08 20:15 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-07 04:05 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:29 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5799999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-06 18:06 | Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9939602416 | $250.00 |
| 09-04 01:50 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $38.28 |
| 09-04 01:49 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.956 | $38.24 |
| 09-04 01:49 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $38.28 |
| 09-04 01:49 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 08-31 14:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-29 23:22 | Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? | BUY | 0.9697147893 | $34.00 |