DeverNoom
0x529d3986c62df484bf34400f655432c5703d6381
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $648.2k
- Markets traded
- 939
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded939
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$756.36at 0.999Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
- +$571.45at 0.127Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$493.51at 0.227Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?
- +$409.00at 0.720Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$392.00at 0.020US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:29 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 21:37 | Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 10-31 20:13 | Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.67 |
| 10-31 19:29 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.23 | $92.00 |
| 10-27 19:16 | Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 21:43 | Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.1092220912 | $58.97 |
| 10-26 21:32 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0999216684 | $140.19 |
| 10-23 01:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 22:37 | Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? | BUY | 0.1470270079 | $41.54 |
| 10-21 18:26 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3879472863 | $94.50 |
| 10-21 18:25 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9766282723 | $559.61 |
| 10-17 03:19 | Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0140606342 | $13.34 |
| 10-16 17:28 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | SELL | 0.09004 | $45.02 |
| 10-15 13:31 | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-15 13:17 | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.3k |