PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DeverNoom

0x529d3986c62df484bf34400f655432c5703d6381

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$565.1k
Markets traded
855
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded855
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9140.925$2.1k+$25.95
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7440.935$899.34+$183.61
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9760.977$686.29+$0.81
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8140.835$556.10+$13.96
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? · No0.9320.975$455.96+$19.84
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3060.541$432.77+$187.75
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? · Yes0.9541.000$419.78+$19.09
GTA VI released by September 30? · No0.9950.996$400.39+$0.40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8150.935$374.00+$48.00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8750.855$342.00$8.00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6410.695$308.58+$23.98
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6010.635$285.75+$15.25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8700.945$283.50+$22.50
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7800.925$277.50+$43.50
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5770.465$268.48$64.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 17:25Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.915$457.50
09-13 17:22Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.914$847.54
09-09 18:16Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?BUY0.997$500.00
09-09 17:54Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.9734638921$500.00
09-09 17:52Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.0868025$17.36
09-08 20:15Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$4.20
09-07 04:05Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.005$1.00
09-06 21:29Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.5799999942$30.00
09-06 18:06Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.9939602416$250.00
09-04 01:50Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?BUY0.957$38.28
09-04 01:49Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?BUY0.956$38.24
09-04 01:49Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?BUY0.957$38.28
09-04 01:49Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?BUY0.955$95.50
08-31 14:15Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.93$9.30
08-29 23:22Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?BUY0.9697147893$34.00