PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDC719Fde6ed998a38F28DEA0af7B653047a526D8-1723323482067

0xfec84ba946b063d57580366e02e97a18c75167f7

Realised P&L
$-195.34
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:20Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.54$250.00
09-14 17:58Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9669999998$20.00
09-14 17:58Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9669999998$20.00
09-14 16:26Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9666617649$200.00
09-11 13:17Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.5415441731$30.00
09-11 13:06Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3031432037$100.00
09-11 12:40Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0779286563$100.00
09-11 12:35Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7088518862$500.00
09-11 11:52Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?BUY0.88$1000.00
09-03 17:04Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.9489999966$8.00
09-03 17:03Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.952999999$10.00
09-03 17:03Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.95$10.00
09-03 17:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.9507544285$10.00
09-03 17:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.95$10.00
09-03 17:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.9491533548$10.00