PolyBot

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Traders

wqujvj

0x24fbc286881b0c0e76bc7558c47c3fa5f71d973e

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$602.6k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$19.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.9600.973$3.2k+$40.64
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8170.979$2.6k+$424.34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5300.925$1.9k+$790.00
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · No0.6910.625$1.8k−$195.48
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.6080.385$1.6k−$909.13
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited? · No0.8400.949$1.5k+$171.68
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8960.981$1.5k+$128.59
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? · No0.7940.905$1.4k+$170.12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.715$849.38+$29.70
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2370.175$591.62−$210.89
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.8100.999$463.06+$87.42
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? · No0.9500.976$344.36+$9.00
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.3000.370$340.10+$64.06
Will OpenAI retract its Navier-Stokes solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.930$325.50−$7.00
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.6960.880$235.33+$49.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 18:05Will SI.gov launch by October 31?BUY0.75$15.00
10-09 17:31Will SI.gov launch by October 31?BUY0.8053271028$34.47
10-09 07:54Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.81$375.64
10-09 07:09Will SI.gov launch by October 31?BUY0.83$16.60
10-09 00:51Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.79$47.40
10-08 23:28Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.77125$123.40
10-08 21:44Will SI.gov launch by October 15?BUY0.61$12.20
10-08 21:42Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.981$2.9k
10-08 20:37Will SI.gov launch by October 15?BUY0.51$51.00
10-08 20:03Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.7439759036$123.50
10-08 19:45Will SI.gov launch by October 15?BUY0.6142553191$28.87
10-08 18:28Will SI.gov launch by October 31?BUY0.74$316.71
10-08 18:27Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.69$47.61
10-08 18:27Will SI.gov launch by October 31?BUY0.6888616462$393.34
10-08 18:27Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?BUY0.5620999905$237.90