wqujvj
0x24fbc286881b0c0e76bc7558c47c3fa5f71d973e
- Realised P&L
- $9.8k
- Volume
- $602.6k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $19.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.574Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
- +$5.1kat 0.733Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
- +$4.3kat 0.704Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
- +$2.3kat 0.429US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.896Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 18:05 | Will SI.gov launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 17:31 | Will SI.gov launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.8053271028 | $34.47 |
| 10-09 07:54 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $375.64 |
| 10-09 07:09 | Will SI.gov launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-09 00:51 | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $47.40 |
| 10-08 23:28 | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BUY | 0.77125 | $123.40 |
| 10-08 21:44 | Will SI.gov launch by October 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 10-08 21:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $2.9k |
| 10-08 20:37 | Will SI.gov launch by October 15? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-08 20:03 | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BUY | 0.7439759036 | $123.50 |
| 10-08 19:45 | Will SI.gov launch by October 15? | BUY | 0.6142553191 | $28.87 |
| 10-08 18:28 | Will SI.gov launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $316.71 |
| 10-08 18:27 | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $47.61 |
| 10-08 18:27 | Will SI.gov launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.6888616462 | $393.34 |
| 10-08 18:27 | Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31? | BUY | 0.5620999905 | $237.90 |